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Baccarat
How To Play
How To Win
Where To Play
Terms
History
Baccarat How To Win
Basic
Baccarat Strategy
The
Scorecard
Card
Counting
The
Martingle System
Advanced Baccarat Strategy
Basic
baccarat strategy
How to win baccarat? There are many
basic baccarat strategy moves one can play to make the chances of
winning higher. Also, there are misleading strategies best to avoid.
Among gamblers, a good baccarat strategy is usually
considered a legend. The reason for this is that any strategy that
promotes itself as a system is most likely full of false, deceptive,
and useless information.
The scorecard
A major
aspect of the baccarat games played at the local casino is the
scorecard. It looks like everyone at the table is keeping track of
the outcome on each hand, and that's exactly what they're doing.
These players are trying to find patterns and then change their own
betting patterns in order to take advantage of a streak. Since the
casinos know it has no bearing on the outcome of the game they
encourage this behavior. Chasing patterns in baccarat is as
pointless as it is in roulette.
Each hand is completely different from the next, and is never
influenced by the preceding hands. This is a simple trap that
gamblers all around the world fall into at one time or another. If
you were betting on the flip of a coin, and it landed heads up 9
times in a row, part of your brain will without doubt yell out to
you that it's likely that the 10th flip will land tails up. This
reasoning is spurious; the chance of the coin landing tails up on
the 10th flip is still exactly 50%, just as it was the first nine
times. Any baccarat strategy that makes you change your bets based
on previous hands is useless and should be completely ignored.
So, although you will see almost everyone around you at the
baccarat table marking down numbers on casino provided cards, you
should look at it only as personalentertainment.
Don't be fooled into participating, its just another way for the
casino to take your mind off the important parts of the game. Think
about it, would Las Vegas casinos offer baccarat players a pencil and a chart if
these could really help them win?
Card counting
The
card counting is another false alley in published baccarat strategy.
Card counting is usually associated with the game of blackjack,
as it can be quite an effective strategy when utilized properly in
the right casino. It would also appear at first, to be an
authentically good strategy in baccarat, as it works off of a
similar shoe. In baccarat specifically the problems with card
counting derive from some basic differences in the game. Unlike blackjack
baccarat does not offer opportunities to adjust your bet in mid-hand
play. Blackjack offers this ability in a number of specific
situations, and so you can increase your bet if your count changes
during the session. The problem is of course the issue of used cards
being fed back into the shoe before very many have been removed
(thus making useless any count you had made to that point). Using
card counting in baccarat offers hardly any situations with an
advantage against the house and so the efforts become worthless.
The martingale
system
Baccarat can be looked upon as a coin toss played
with a lot of elegance and with quite an amount of pomposity. Many
people let this oversimplified impression of the game tempt them
towards using a martingale-based system.
These styles of
systems have you double your bet each time you lose a hand, basing
its logic on the fact that sooner or later your choice will win, and
if you had doubled your bet each hand that win will regain all
losses from preceding hands. This system is perfect and cannot be
beaten in games like baccarat or roulette.
But here comes the catch. Because this is true the casinos have
issued new rules, which limit how much one can bet in one hand.
Table maximums and minimums as they are referred to, put a complete
end to the martingale system. For instance, you bet 5 dollars on
banker and lost, next bet you put 10 bucks down on banker, next bet
20, and so on, and you keep loosing, it won't be very long before
you double your bet right up to or over the table maximum. In this
case of course you can't bet any higher, and your system has failed.
If we only accomplish one thing with this web site, we hope it is
convincing everyone that martingale systems have become absolutely
horrific techniques designed to prey on the natural thought patterns
of the human brain.
So if streak or pattern spotting, card
counting, and systems are all ineffective strategies for baccarat,
what's a good one? Looking at the numbers it becomes clear that the
odds are always a little better when you bet on the banker. Does
this mean you should always bet on banker? In a technical sense we
suppose it does, but practically it would be the most boring use of
your time ever if you just sat there betting on banker all night.
However, there is the advanced baccarat strategy that can bring your
odds up by far and help you win baccarat games.
Advanced Baccarat Strategy
Baccarat is a game of pure luck. The
game is played using a fixed set of rules for the player and the
dealer, and these rules represent the best odds of winning for both
the player and for the house. Calculations have been made
that show the odds of the player winning are 44.62%, losing
45.85%, and 9.53% to tie. Therefore it would seem to be to your
advantage to bet on the house winning on every hand. To even out the
odds the house charges a commission (usually 5%) on winning player
bets placed on the house. How should this change the way you are
going to bet?
Taking the commission into consideration it
turns out that you are still a little better off by betting that the
house will win. This theory is true when the commission is the usual
5%, however, if the commission changes then you have to change
strategy. If the commission is less than 5% then it is always to
your advantage to bet with the house, while if the commission is
more than 5% it pays to bet on the player winning.
Removing
the tie hands in the event there is no payoff, the probability of
the player winning are 49.32% and for losing 50.68%. For various
commissions we can calculate the following average payoffs then,
assuming 100 wagers of $1 were made.
| 4% commission |
Betting on the player |
Betting with the house |
| Winning |
$49.32 |
| $50.68 * 96% |
$48.65
$49.32
($0.67) | |
| Losing |
$50.68 |
| Difference |
($1.36) |
You lose less by betting with the dealer.
| 5% commission |
Betting on the player |
Betting with the house |
| Winning |
$49.32 |
| $50.68 * 95% |
$48.15
$49.32
($1.17) | |
| Losing |
$50.68 |
| Difference |
($1.36) |
You lose less by betting with the dealer.
| 6% commission |
Betting on the player |
Betting with the house |
| Winning |
$49.32 |
| $50.68 * 94% |
$47.64
$49.32
($1.68) | |
| Losing |
$50.68 |
| Difference |
($1.36) | You lose less
by betting with the player.
Baccarat sometimes
allows for a bet to be made for a tie, and sometimes doesn't (mini
baccarat typically played online usually does). Although the odds of
8 to 1 may sound tempting, it is known as one of the worst wagers in
the casino, so don't bother making this bet part of your baccarat
strategy.
Thank you for visiting our Jackpot Club.
Good Luck!
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